TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c532.85$330 inWon+$202.8519951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No39c292.67$114 inLost-$114.1490863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No37c231.26$86 inLost-$85.572,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes61c200$122 inWon+$78.1741227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No42c199.99$84 inLost-$83.9912347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d9…04eebacked Yes58c172.58$100 inWon+$72.582245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked No40c159.99$64 inLost-$6422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Yes63c159.44$100 inWon+$59.444360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No28c137.08$38 inLost-$37.9453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No38c109.99$42 inLost-$41.843752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No40c107.99$43 inLost-$43.236153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes78c96.15$75 inWon+$21.157835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No39c94.99$37 inLost-$37.055358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…ec12backed Yes60c83.27$50 inWon+$33.274852.1%25 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No35c70.7$25 inLost-$24.7585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c65.41$40 inWon+$25.8284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…09f8backed Yes60c54.58$33 inWon+$21.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No40c50$20 inLost-$2030448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed No40c45$18 inLost-$182646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No41c42.77$18 inLost-$17.5233049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes58c38.63$22 inWon+$16.2242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…1ee9backed Yes61c37.39$23 inWon+$14.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No42c34$14 inLost-$14.2816150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x485c…c6b3backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon+$10.774757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d9…cd34backed Yes60c26.45$16 inWon+$10.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Yes65c25$16 inWon+$8.752347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes60c22.67$14 inWon+$9.075836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.