NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4bf6e23b0317a18f9fe34d0fd784361d2ff684b83be69e75a44436aa3aa0400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Thunder | 50c | 46,755$23,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,485.34 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 50c | 31,547$15,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,787.08 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Spurs | 52c | 14,361$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,893.04 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 66c | 11,994$7,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.51 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 51c | 9,831$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.53 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Thunder | 22c | 7,087$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Thunder | 36c | 6,927$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.18 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 10c | 5,352$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 14c | 4,964$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,068$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.32 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 58c | 3,570$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 37c | 3,416$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.56 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Spurs | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Spurs | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 35c | 2,748$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 37c | 2,634$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.45 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 69c | 2,627$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.09 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 36c | 2,592$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.94 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 62c | 2,238$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.93 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Spurs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 63c | 1,752$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.06 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 63c | 1,731$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.6 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Thunder | 36c | 1,722$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…4ca0backed Spurs | 58c | 1,707$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 62c | 1,700$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.74 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Thunder | 36c | 1,690$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 22c | 1,576$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Spurs | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Spurs | 65c | 1,535$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 32c | 1,495$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.52 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…454bbacked Spurs | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 56c | 1,287$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.71 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder | 33c | 1,164$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 49c | 1,151$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.66 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Thunder | 32c | 1,111$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 58c | 1,108$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.53 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 35c | 1,035$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.94 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.19 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 43c | 1,019$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.87 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Thunder | 35c | 1,010$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 51c | 982.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Spurs | 50c | 890$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 35c | 859.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 40c | 840.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.86 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 64c | 839$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.04 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 49c | 820.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Spurs | 68c | 817.83$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Spurs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Spurs | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…77f3backed Thunder | 27c | 753.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 69c | 710.18$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs | 65c | 669.23$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 35c | 641.43$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Thunder | 34c | 611.76$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 65c | 605.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Spurs | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…3d8bbacked Spurs | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Spurs | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 48c | 586.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Spurs | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Thunder | 51c | 572.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.15 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 35c | 558.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 65c | 544.67$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Spurs | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Spurs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Thunder | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…2d5ebacked Thunder | 34c | 483.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 33c | 479.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 40c | 469.68$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 72c | 465.23$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Thunder | 26c | 464.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Spurs | 68c | 430.57$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Thunder | 51c | 429.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Spurs | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Thunder | 33c | 391.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Thunder | 51c | 376.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs | 66c | 373.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Thunder | 51c | 371.02$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…2065backed Spurs | 57c | 352.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…f83abacked Spurs | 57c | 342.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Thunder | 8c | 325$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 43c | 308.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Spurs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Spurs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Spurs | 49c | 302.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Spurs | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Spurs | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Spurs | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Thunder | 31c | 291.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 41c | 287.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Spurs | 64c | 284.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Thunder | 43c | 283.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 37c | 283.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Spurs | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.