NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed862e61b0362bb97e366f31608dc62fdb4dd45d805ce02f3daeb9330bb1bb0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 7,553$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.73 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Over | 50c | 5,188$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 48c | 2,994$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.12 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 47c | 2,560$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.79 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 1,159$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.37 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 49c | 825.35$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.11 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 597.52$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 596.63$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 50c | 506.8$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1e48backed Over | 49c | 441.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…307abacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Under | 52c | 112.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 46c | 99.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…1ab3backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 56c | 89.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 81.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 38c | 67.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 64.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 46c | 63.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…7259backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 48c | 54.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…516abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5ea8backed Under | 67c | 23.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 48c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…6043backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Under | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.