NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf758d95a2f2d58296476ff9f1159df4690069c1c1e418124729b45aaab724d02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,499.92 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 54c | 18,504$10,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,078.81 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 53c | 12,875$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.71 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 10,862$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 47c | 10,311$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.59 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 8,441$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 7,798$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 6,930$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.75 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 47c | 6,930$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.75 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,772$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.98 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 3,431$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.43 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a15…dbacbacked Over | 47c | 3,075$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Under | 53c | 3,036$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 54c | 2,908$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.76 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 2,385$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.8 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 57c | 2,116$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.19 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 44c | 1,547$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.33 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 1,478$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.67 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,372$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 36c | 1,299$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.71 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 47c | 1,038$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.98 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 46c | 923.86$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 847.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.59 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 836.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.22 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Over | 45c | 771.11$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 745.95$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.95 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 46c | 714.38$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 689.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 51c | 662.35$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 500.08$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.71 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 489.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.94 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 442.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.28 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 44c | 438.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 47c | 412.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 49c | 404.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 3c | 366$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Over | 45c | 342$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 45c | 336.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 299.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 285.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 271.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 123.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 100.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 100.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Over | 47c | 97.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…b128backed Over | 53c | 94.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 94.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 90.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 56c | 89.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 58c | 86.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…9cc4backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 54c | 77.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 68.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 48c | 61.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 57c | 59.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 46c | 51.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Over | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 43.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 65c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 52c | 37.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ae…17eebacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…2bb3backed Under | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 46c | 32.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe355…a1f9backed Over | 66c | 30.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…5024backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Under | 53c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…efe1backed Over | 48c | 23.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 46c | 22.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…51f6backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.