NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfaabc7c815762e09273608226efc7fff018611a299f0db9f3467ac9c4cab06e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Spurs | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 77c | 4,209$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.54 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 23c | 4,202$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Thunder | 75c | 4,084$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 26c | 3,928$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.85 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 80c | 2,726$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Spurs | 26c | 2,585$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.67 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Spurs | 27c | 2,172$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.57 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 73c | 2,032$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.13 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 26c | 1,692$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 74c | 1,676$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Spurs | 20c | 1,673$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.58 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,665$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Thunder | 75c | 1,652$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…fb18backed Thunder | 75c | 1,492$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 13c | 1,452$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spurs | 25c | 1,120$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 24c | 1,118$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Thunder | 76c | 1,001$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Thunder | 75c | 953.33$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…6c20backed Thunder | 75c | 802.2$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Spurs | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Thunder | 74c | 652.64$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 73c | 589.65$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Spurs | 24c | 487.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Thunder | 74c | 443.97$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Spurs | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…7ce7backed Thunder | 75c | 382.56$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Spurs | 26c | 330.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…6441backed Spurs | 26c | 314.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2071…e579backed Thunder | 75c | 313.33$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Spurs | 26c | 274.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 78c | 230.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Spurs | 15c | 227.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Spurs | 26c | 225$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Thunder | 72c | 221.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Thunder | 75c | 209.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…23fbbacked Thunder | 75c | 209.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…cc69backed Spurs | 25c | 200.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Thunder | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Spurs | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Thunder | 78c | 160.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 74c | 158.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 25c | 150.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554d…781ebacked Thunder | 75c | 145.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Thunder | 75c | 133.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 75c | 127.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…36aabacked Thunder | 75c | 121.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Thunder | 77c | 120.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Spurs | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Thunder | 75c | 119.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Spurs | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 26c | 115.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder | 75c | 105.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Spurs | 17c | 104.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Thunder | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Spurs | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 135 | 39.3%53 W · 82 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Spurs | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs | 13c | 86.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Thunder | 78c | 85.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…023fbacked Thunder | 76c | 75.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Spurs | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Spurs | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Spurs | 26c | 73.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…9580backed Spurs | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…4297backed Spurs | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Thunder | 75c | 63.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Spurs | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…b38ebacked Spurs | 26c | 53.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Thunder | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Thunder | 74c | 45.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Spurs | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thunder | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Thunder | 76c | 41.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Thunder | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 75c | 38.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Thunder | 75c | 33.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 80c | 32.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Thunder | 76c | 30.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Thunder | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Thunder | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Thunder | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Thunder | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Thunder | 80c | 25.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Thunder | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Thunder | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Thunder | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 79c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.