NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6532310f7e0c5aa6b55cb6d29b7867622ad683e991df2af237f25de79c1a233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Thunder | 65c | 24,444$15,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,561.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 35c | 13,706$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 62c | 11,012$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 30c | 9,556$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 64c | 7,031$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.05 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 36c | 6,222$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.96 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Spurs | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 21c | 3,559$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.08 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 66c | 3,422$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.31 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 25c | 3,179$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.85 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 34c | 2,788$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.76 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 35c | 2,562$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Spurs | 33c | 1,991$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.94 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc4…ab52backed Thunder | 66c | 1,947$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Spurs | 36c | 1,874$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 39c | 1,794$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.18 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 36c | 1,774$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.44 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Thunder | 64c | 1,558$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.06 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 34c | 1,558$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.91 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…4209backed Thunder | 67c | 1,497$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 43c | 1,469$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 35c | 1,369$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.36 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,254$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Spurs | 19c | 1,120$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 34c | 1,120$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,096$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.13 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Spurs | 37c | 1,079$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,033$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.54 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 30c | 1,014$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Spurs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 37c | 926.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Thunder | 61c | 732.33$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 66c | 726.97$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.6 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Spurs | 38c | 689.03$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 62c | 685.42$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Spurs | 32c | 600.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Spurs | 35c | 571.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 33c | 554.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Spurs | 33c | 501.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 68c | 497.92$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Thunder | 64c | 468.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 64c | 450$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 68c | 441.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 64c | 421.73$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs | 24c | 371.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Thunder | 65c | 343.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Thunder | 68c | 336.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Thunder | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Spurs | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 74c | 269$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 65c | 265.64$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 65c | 263.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 35c | 257.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 32c | 236.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Spurs | 35c | 233$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 37c | 229.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 41c | 215$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 17c | 208.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Spurs | 39c | 204.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…00bcbacked Thunder | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Spurs | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Thunder | 65c | 183.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Spurs | 32c | 174.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846e…c22abacked Spurs | 37c | 162.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 36c | 162.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder | 69c | 144.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…8c36backed Spurs | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Spurs | 38c | 132.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…cc2ebacked Spurs | 35c | 131.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spurs | 36c | 122.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Thunder | 65c | 105.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 62c | 105.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…cc80backed Thunder | 60c | 102.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 36c | 100.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…516abacked Thunder | 69c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Spurs | 35c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 62 | 77.4%48 W · 14 L | +13.1wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Thunder | 65c | 97.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder | 72c | 95.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Thunder | 69c | 87.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Spurs | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 69c | 75.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 24c | 72.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Thunder | 63c | 71.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed Spurs | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Thunder | 65c | 69.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Spurs | 37c | 66.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs | 37c | 63.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 29c | 60.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Thunder | 67c | 59.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Spurs | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs | 37c | 57.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Spurs | 28c | 57.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.