NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46e568e947393b1c113838f4699511cddddc7275bbfacead7840421ac955034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 49c | 87,609$42,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,928.46 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 51c | 65,223$33,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,105.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 50c | 29,212$14,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,605.81 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 50c | 26,469$13,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,234.5 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spurs | 50c | 16,543$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,271.5 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Spurs | 45c | 16,008$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,253.39 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 51c | 13,673$6,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.14 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Thunder | 50c | 9,716$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.98 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 49c | 9,695$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.5 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Thunder | 52c | 9,307$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 47c | 8,643$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.18 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 53c | 6,626$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.07 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Spurs | 50c | 4,879$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.68 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 55c | 4,826$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.87 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 55c | 4,793$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.73 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 58c | 4,413$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.41 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Thunder | 51c | 4,406$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.05 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Thunder | 49c | 3,844$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.36 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Spurs | 55c | 3,643$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Spurs | 51c | 3,259$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.49 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Thunder | 51c | 3,196$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.08 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 50c | 3,060$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.96 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Thunder | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder | 60c | 2,464$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.38 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 2,178$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.55 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Spurs | 57c | 2,151$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 46c | 2,151$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.2 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Thunder | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Spurs | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.8 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Thunder | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Thunder | 72c | 1,886$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.2 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,543$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Thunder | 51c | 1,496$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.28 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Thunder | 50c | 1,478$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 67c | 1,324$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.64 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,299$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.5 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs | 50c | 1,275$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.23 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Thunder | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 61c | 1,145$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.46 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Spurs | 63c | 1,133$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Spurs | 50c | 1,119$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.69 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Spurs | 56c | 1,100$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Thunder | 42c | 1,099$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.64 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Spurs | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.44 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…3a96backed Spurs | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Thunder | 42c | 999.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 43c | 999.61$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.52 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…4ca0backed Spurs | 50c | 981.56$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Thunder | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Spurs | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 44c | 940.05$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a2…e30dbacked Spurs | 50c | 914$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spurs | 50c | 902.8$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.48 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Spurs | 51c | 882.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 57c | 874.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 45c | 842$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.52 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 59c | 838.87$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 51c | 812.51$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.67 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Thunder | 50c | 779.26$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 49c | 700$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.2 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs | 52c | 646.15$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Thunder | 39c | 642.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.63 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Spurs | 46c | 637.61$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.3 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 49c | 612.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 52c | 609.25$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Thunder | 51c | 603.55$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Spurs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Spurs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…c3a4backed Spurs | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Thunder | 46c | 583$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 53c | 551.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Thunder | 57c | 534.63$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Spurs | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Spurs | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…39efbacked Spurs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Spurs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Thunder | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Spurs | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.