NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ee7f102862b1cab278c8ee9ed8cfe15cdd8ea496fb30c4d6ab925913b8c5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 29c | 11,170$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.38 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Over | 71c | 9,718$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.31 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…2c2fbacked Under | 28c | 7,657$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 73c | 5,482$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…7b35backed Over | 72c | 3,407$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Over | 68c | 2,934$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.06 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 27c | 2,760$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…fd47backed Over | 72c | 2,600$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 14c | 2,437$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.25 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 26c | 2,271$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.52 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 2,239$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 28c | 1,942$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.74 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 22c | 1,753$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.16 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Under | 31c | 1,676$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.65 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…addfbacked Over | 72c | 1,650$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 76c | 1,631$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 74c | 1,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.09 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 28c | 1,246$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 28c | 1,173$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 73c | 1,079$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 25c | 998.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 76c | 987.29$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 875.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 766.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 739.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 28c | 737.65$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 24c | 645.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Over | 74c | 608.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 74c | 539.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.54 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…4d20backed Over | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Under | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 487.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 29c | 460$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 73c | 435.58$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Under | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 26c | 414$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Under | 14c | 367.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 66c | 280.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 72c | 279.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Over | 72c | 275$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 32c | 215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 27c | 204.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 30c | 166.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 28c | 150.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 72c | 145.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 70c | 143.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…c4afbacked Under | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…c603backed Over | 74c | 138.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Over | 71c | 137.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 74c | 135.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…7aafbacked Over | 74c | 134.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 34c | 132.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 34c | 132.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 35c | 129.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 36c | 125.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 69c | 114.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…c8b8backed Under | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 29c | 111.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 28c | 110.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…0071backed Over | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 27c | 108.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 28c | 103.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 23c | 100.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…f109backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…fd60backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…f367backed Over | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 70c | 97.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Over | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Over | 71c | 96.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed Over | 71c | 96.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 71c | 95.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 24c | 93.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 67c | 90.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 27c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2f…6884backed Over | 68c | 86.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 70c | 86.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 82.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…9603backed Over | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…5a26backed Over | 74c | 80.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 29c | 70.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…1419backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…a3f4backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…087fbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +301.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 76c | 65.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 28c | 50.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 71c | 48.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…bd26backed Over | 71c | 47.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.