NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a0da0f25f94fce088c88803b296d48dd19717370dbafa97484f3ddac70ee4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,406,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,284,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,406,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,875 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Spurs | 32c | 1,619,889$510,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510,557.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 68c | 1,409,999$960,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449,648.03 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 31c | 831,677$256,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256,283.82 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Spurs | 0c | 685,884$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.38 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 31c | 581,829$177,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,520.16 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 32c | 400,000$128,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 31c | 390,617$121,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,964.34 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs | 32c | 312,500$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 69c | 283,133$195,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,771.27 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 76c | 245,918$186,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,242.05 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 24c | 236,581$55,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,640.14 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Thunder | 69c | 220,458$152,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,341.97 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 32c | 209,491$67,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,037.09 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Thunder | 69c | 209,259$144,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,797.56 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 68c | 208,979$142,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,399.53 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Thunder | 68c | 189,999$129,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,799.74 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Spurs | 9c | 169,489$15,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,231.37 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 69c | 164,060$112,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,325.19 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Thunder | 68c | 163,632$111,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,235.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 75c | 152,604$114,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,655.37 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 68c | 143,111$97,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,996.97 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Thunder | 68c | 140,000$95,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,800 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Thunder | 71c | 131,591$93,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,271.07 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Thunder | 69c | 129,828$89,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,246.69 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 31c | 120,000$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,199.92 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 68c | 116,241$79,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,988.78 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Spurs | 32c | 114,631$36,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,299.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Spurs | 32c | 113,552$36,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,336.73 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 68c | 94,443$64,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,966.21 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs | 22c | 88,994$19,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,358.17 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Spurs | 29c | 88,775$25,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,854.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 23c | 80,844$18,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,526.13 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…4bd8backed Spurs | 18c | 77,505$14,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,335.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 69c | 74,996$51,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,248.65 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 31c | 74,921$23,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,118.39 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Thunder | 69c | 72,464$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,463.77 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Spurs | 9c | 72,247$6,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,820.96 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…54d0backed Thunder | 70c | 71,636$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,635.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 69c | 67,950$46,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,064.47 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Thunder | 69c | 65,880$45,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,422.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 67c | 62,750$42,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,407.39 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Spurs | 28c | 62,247$17,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,164.7 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs | 32c | 59,999$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.81 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Thunder | 67c | 59,998$40,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.48 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 67c | 59,966$40,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,740.43 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 69c | 59,882$41,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,623 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 76c | 59,194$45,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,117.34 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 80c | 55,025$43,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,130.65 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 34c | 51,958$17,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,704.91 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 68c | 51,633$35,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,375.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Thunder | 69c | 50,503$34,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,656.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder | 66c | 50,154$33,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,944.38 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Thunder | 70c | 50,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Spurs | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 67c | 43,900$29,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,347.97 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 80c | 43,896$35,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,779.3 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Thunder | 68c | 42,647$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,647.06 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked Spurs | 5c | 41,139$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 67c | 37,919$25,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,513.35 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 69c | 36,481$25,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,264.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Spurs | 0c | 36,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Thunder | 66c | 36,228$23,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,379.93 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 69c | 36,200$24,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,222 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 69c | 35,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Thunder | 69c | 34,741$23,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,815.79 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Spurs | 29c | 34,548$10,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,066 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 32c | 34,488$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,036.09 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Spurs | 30c | 32,761$9,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,828.36 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Thunder | 69c | 31,655$21,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,813.05 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…3516backed Spurs | 32c | 30,460$9,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,747.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 68c | 30,000$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.98 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Thunder | 79c | 29,038$22,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.34 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Spurs | 32c | 28,222$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,096.7 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Spurs | 34c | 28,100$9,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 75c | 28,021$21,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,993.83 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…bff0backed Thunder | 73c | 25,628$18,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Spurs | 13c | 25,059$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Spurs | 22c | 23,857$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 69c | 23,695$16,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…03a3backed Thunder | 69c | 23,330$16,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 68c | 22,000$14,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Spurs | 33c | 20,987$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 76c | 20,931$16,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.84 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 32c | 20,764$6,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,644.38 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Spurs | 33c | 20,421$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.05 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Spurs | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Thunder | 76c | 19,708$14,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.4 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…1428backed Spurs | 28c | 19,640$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Thunder | 68c | 19,606$13,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Spurs | 33c | 19,606$6,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.95 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Spurs | 25c | 19,343$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.6 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Thunder | 72c | 19,108$13,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.94 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Spurs | 22c | 18,487$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.74 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Spurs | 23c | 18,206$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.14 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 32c | 18,083$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.66 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 28c | 18,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.