NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd909d1cabe9eba53948b0fe298aa91693f451bb65db2c6aab8b8758a87419160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Spurs | 75c | 11,324$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.47 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Thunder | 27c | 9,426$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.78 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Spurs | 73c | 6,849$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs | 73c | 4,897$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.43 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Thunder | 25c | 4,829$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Thunder | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 24c | 3,578$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.79 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 23c | 3,482$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.15 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Spurs | 73c | 3,265$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Spurs | 73c | 3,104$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.11 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 78c | 3,073$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Spurs | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder | 28c | 2,321$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 27c | 2,257$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.27 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 26c | 2,008$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Thunder | 27c | 1,949$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Thunder | 25c | 1,826$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.6 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Spurs | 73c | 1,500$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.86 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 27c | 1,284$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.75 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 13c | 1,120$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Spurs | 63c | 1,106$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.91 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…9816backed Spurs | 76c | 1,086$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 13c | 1,083$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 28c | 966.03$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 27c | 863.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Thunder | 28c | 857.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 27c | 841.25$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Spurs | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Spurs | 63c | 767.57$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 28c | 706.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 70c | 682.63$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Spurs | 64c | 667.68$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Spurs | 75c | 666.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 75c | 612.08$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Spurs | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 8c | 537.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 72c | 534.4$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…454bbacked Thunder | 37c | 500.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Thunder | 15c | 499.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Spurs | 73c | 475.34$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Thunder | 27c | 423.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 19c | 412$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Thunder | 28c | 405.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked Spurs | 74c | 403.23$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Spurs | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Thunder | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Spurs | 73c | 367.71$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder | 26c | 318.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 22c | 317$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 10c | 308.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 26c | 299.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 15c | 293.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs | 75c | 277.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91b…a78abacked Spurs | 73c | 271.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Spurs | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 26c | 250.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked Spurs | 75c | 249.92$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Spurs | 73c | 247.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Thunder | 41c | 238.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 70c | 235.76$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Thunder | 26c | 221.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 30c | 204.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Thunder | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Spurs | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Thunder | 15c | 195.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Thunder | 17c | 188$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Thunder | 28c | 176.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Spurs | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 73c | 170.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder | 17c | 159.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Spurs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 21c | 149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…d798backed Spurs | 75c | 146.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder | 27c | 141.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Spurs | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Spurs | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…5899backed Spurs | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 40c | 134.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Spurs | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Thunder | 23c | 124$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Spurs | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Thunder | 26c | 122.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8b9abacked Spurs | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Thunder | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Spurs | 74c | 112.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed Spurs | 74c | 112.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Spurs | 74c | 110.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Spurs | 76c | 106.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Spurs | 73c | 105.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Spurs | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Thunder | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Spurs | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Spurs | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.