TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03f8…d85abacked Spurs75c11,324$8,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.471384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Thunder27c9,426$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.7828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Spurs73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.321050%5 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Spurs73c4,897$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.4344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Thunder25c4,829$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.352343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Thunder27c4,500$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21518044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder24c3,578$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.796028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder23c3,482$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.151,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Spurs73c3,265$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.441861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Spurs73c3,104$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.1112741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs78c3,073$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Spurs75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6254269%29 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Thunder28c2,321$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder27c2,257$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.272,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder26c2,008$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Thunder27c1,949$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.33740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Thunder25c1,826$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.61,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Spurs73c1,500$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.865369.8%37 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder27c1,284$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder13c1,120$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.545829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e6…757abacked Spurs63c1,106$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.918148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85f…9816backed Spurs76c1,086$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.551030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder13c1,083$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.461,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder28c966.03$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder27c863.31$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Thunder28c857.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Thunder27c841.25$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Spurs73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9211261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Spurs63c767.57$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2841770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+63%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder28c706.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs70c682.63$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Spurs64c667.68$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.684959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Spurs75c666.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6210556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs75c612.08$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Spurs75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder8c537.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs72c534.4$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3318853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa350…454bbacked Thunder37c500.07$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.021010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-85.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Thunder15c499.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Spurs73c475.34$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.343129%9 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Thunder27c423.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6110954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder19c412$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.471,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Thunder28c405.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4317047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Spurs74c403.23$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.232070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Spurs79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Thunder27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Spurs73c367.71$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2823342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Thunder26c318.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder22c317$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.142,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder10c308.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder26c299.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.981,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder15c293.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8845445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Spurs75c277.33$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3390560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9711558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91b…a78abacked Spurs73c271.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Spurs75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6729665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder26c250.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…24efbacked Spurs75c249.92$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.485655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Spurs73c247.95$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.952867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Thunder41c238.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs70c235.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Thunder26c221.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder11c210$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Thunder30c204.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Thunder7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Spurs65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7054951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Thunder15c195.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.364738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Thunder17c188$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Thunder28c176.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.659941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Spurs73c171.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2317028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs73c170.02$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.091,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder17c159.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Spurs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8516555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder21c149$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d0…d798backed Spurs75c146.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.742030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder27c141.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2716048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Spurs75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Spurs73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.999660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e86…5899backed Spurs73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Thunder40c134.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Spurs75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Thunder23c124$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5231238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fb…2de9backed Spurs75c124$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Thunder26c122.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8739…8b9abacked Spurs75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Thunder26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3eb…d78bbacked Spurs74c112.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f10…1f55backed Spurs74c112.75$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Spurs74c110.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3939055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Spurs76c106.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.121369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Spurs73c105.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Spurs73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2724946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Thunder25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Spurs72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282568%17 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Thunder25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed Spurs75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.