TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe11c…24ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$338.45
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$24.84
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.86
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.66
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$14.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.57
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.21
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.93
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+261.3%+$522.58
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$37.68
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$16.13
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$165.82
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$117.29
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.56
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5223.1%12 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.58
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.66
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$200.77
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.99
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$270
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$18.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$54.35
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.