TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof GamerLegion, VP.Prodigy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x644d…6cf8backed GamerLegion20c5,609$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,486.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e2…9a09backed VP.Prodigy63c4,413$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy13c4,224$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.332,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed VP.Prodigy22c3,695$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.9271342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked VP.Prodigy12c3,126$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy24c2,849$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.662,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed VP.Prodigy17c2,491$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked GamerLegion75c2,122$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.936759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked VP.Prodigy25c2,085$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9230844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed VP.Prodigy14c2,029$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5211742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dba…368dbacked VP.Prodigy8c1,648$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.071435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed VP.Prodigy12c1,499$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.742580%20 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed VP.Prodigy49c1,468$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed VP.Prodigy24c1,403$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d36…51debacked VP.Prodigy10c1,262$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.165330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9b…c323backed GamerLegion79c1,250$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.273053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy8c1,247$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed GamerLegion61c1,226$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.96144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed GamerLegion50c1,150$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed VP.Prodigy15c1,066$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked VP.Prodigy12c1,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion61c980.44$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed GamerLegion74c801.82$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.148352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed VP.Prodigy27c795.36$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed GamerLegion63c794.8$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0850769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed VP.Prodigy7c697.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.626132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed VP.Prodigy28c689.61$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.339254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed VP.Prodigy21c678.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed GamerLegion76c665.04$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy19c637.3$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.042,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed VP.Prodigy31c619.37$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed VP.Prodigy4c608.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3619242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed VP.Prodigy17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed VP.Prodigy7c600$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017340.5%70 W · 103 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy12c522.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.031,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed GamerLegion60c499.92$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.389946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed GamerLegion54c492.81$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.043531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4536…f788backed VP.Prodigy39c411.37$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed VP.Prodigy58c410.15$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.772744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aba…ebd6backed GamerLegion78c394.78$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked GamerLegion51c386.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.294358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed GamerLegion80c370.98$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked VP.Prodigy8c341.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1718745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be5…2881backed VP.Prodigy28c307.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed GamerLegion66c297.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4114251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy19c273.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.731,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d66…ffc9backed VP.Prodigy18c273.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.142347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed VP.Prodigy16c263.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed VP.Prodigy4c263.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.884748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion72c255.51$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.181,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc603…3220backed VP.Prodigy80c246.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8384…1af4backed VP.Prodigy15c220.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed GamerLegion62c219.64$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.88040%32 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed VP.Prodigy39c215.52$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked VP.Prodigy15c215.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2920738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked VP.Prodigy17c211.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3979341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked VP.Prodigy20c210.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8929350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked VP.Prodigy30c204.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.636851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked VP.Prodigy48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.881450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed VP.Prodigy18c195.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8879343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked GamerLegion61c195.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1720043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked VP.Prodigy14c195.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6152649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy27c193.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.151,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1009…3c2bbacked VP.Prodigy80c193.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed VP.Prodigy29c187.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1611150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed VP.Prodigy31c180.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.562857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked VP.Prodigy16c178.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion59c169.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.631,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…9e92backed VP.Prodigy7c164.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8f…f631backed GamerLegion52c164.1$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.351070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed VP.Prodigy80c161.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked VP.Prodigy15c156.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6322845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked GamerLegion53c142.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.544452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c21…3fb9backed VP.Prodigy12c138.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12b2…74b8backed VP.Prodigy35c136.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy22c134.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7d28…6d7abacked VP.Prodigy80c132.39$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0016…cfedbacked VP.Prodigy80c123.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…24efbacked VP.Prodigy16c123.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed VP.Prodigy65c119.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed GamerLegion62c118.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.646266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f72…b128backed VP.Prodigy60c112.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.764854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed VP.Prodigy14c111.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2250%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa90f…295fbacked VP.Prodigy80c110.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked VP.Prodigy46c109.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-69.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked VP.Prodigy39c108.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…81afbacked VP.Prodigy18c105.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…c5f5backed VP.Prodigy80c104.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd979…d8a0backed VP.Prodigy48c104.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed VP.Prodigy27c102.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7236138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed VP.Prodigy14c101.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2351550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…7825backed VP.Prodigy43c100.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4d…7f1dbacked VP.Prodigy19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed VP.Prodigy16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed VP.Prodigy20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed VP.Prodigy12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed VP.Prodigy15c99.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed VP.Prodigy18c99.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0525339.1%99 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed VP.Prodigy27c99.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9126453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed GamerLegion79c99.62$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7333549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.