TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d28…6d7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$750
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.74
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.81
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.27
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$143.49
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.59
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$25.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$74.18
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.14
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.61
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$67.85
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$38.92
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.97
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$167.3
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.52
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.56
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.23
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$96.59
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.46
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.81
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.06
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$77.32
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$123.24
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$432.77
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$67.24
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.53
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$382.8
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.64
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$201.91
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.37
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.35
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$121.17
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$70.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$736.27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.84
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+319.6%+$83.02
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.92
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.96
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$171.36
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.41
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$183.6
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$465.05
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$35.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$64.27
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.89
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.54
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+136%+$304.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.81
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$361.66
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$200.97
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+103.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.