Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149f392f9c3b155261d91d3fb34e05cc8bf9c259dabe1c266fc8e71d725e6dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,876,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,971,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,876,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 65c | 2,438,109$1,576,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861,582.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 35c | 540,503$191,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,777.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed No | 36c | 364,587$132,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,614.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 35c | 276,033$96,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,167.31 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 255,200$91,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,150 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 35c | 170,006$58,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,752.27 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 64c | 153,045$97,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,332.19 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 35c | 137,669$47,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,729.72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 37c | 100,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 35c | 88,252$30,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,888.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 35c | 87,010$30,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,125.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 35c | 80,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 36c | 63,499$22,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,742.58 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 36c | 53,725$19,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,341.05 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 51,747$18,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,308.34 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 51,330$18,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,265.7 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 35c | 48,700$17,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,044.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 44,616$13,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,647.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 35c | 44,495$15,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,573.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 32,865$11,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,645.96 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed No | 35c | 32,311$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,308.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 32,135$11,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,661.21 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 31,452$19,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,002.51 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 35c | 27,821$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 24,110$8,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,637.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 35c | 22,545$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes | 70c | 21,441$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 21,276$14,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.95 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.98 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 36c | 19,410$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 35c | 18,820$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 18,464$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.55 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 36c | 15,900$5,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 67c | 15,030$10,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.3 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.96 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 35c | 14,905$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 37c | 14,350$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 35c | 14,040$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 13,662$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.14 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 65c | 13,454$8,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.81 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 13,093$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 38c | 12,960$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 37c | 12,880$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 37c | 12,500$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 37c | 10,971$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.27 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 37c | 9,858$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.9 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 60c | 9,686$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.98 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 35c | 8,976$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 8,870$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.37 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 60c | 8,300$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 23c | 8,000$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.9 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…8de8backed Yes | 62c | 7,974$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 36c | 7,939$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 35c | 7,700$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 7,372$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.91 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…437abacked Yes | 66c | 7,237$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 35c | 7,217$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 37c | 7,116$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.33 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 35c | 6,594$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 62c | 6,500$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 36c | 6,447$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.77 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 37c | 5,581$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 33c | 5,421$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 23c | 5,355$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.65 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 36c | 5,287$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.32 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 37c | 5,232$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.91 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 72c | 5,117$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 42c | 5,054$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 64c | 4,812$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 65c | 4,230$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 36c | 4,226$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.21 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 37c | 4,140$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.7 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed No | 37c | 3,898$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 37c | 3,710$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.75 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 3,564$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.68 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 37c | 3,350$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 38c | 3,218$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 37c | 3,100$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 65c | 3,092$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 37c | 3,005$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.05 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 38c | 2,817$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 2,758$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.82 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 35c | 2,436$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…2a13backed Yes | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 36c | 2,269$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.36 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 37c | 2,140$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.61 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.