Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b25f6c6cc98c35262433b7cbaf3ea78b3403df59b3c024bfcded6232a37176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 18c | 34,096$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,137.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 17c | 12,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 16c | 9,289$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.31 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 18c | 8,079$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.73 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 5,030$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 16c | 4,049$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.8 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 79c | 3,599$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.89 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 3,523$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.09 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 19c | 3,509$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…0d98backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 3,311$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 3,282$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.9 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 15c | 2,579$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,572$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 2,263$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.47 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes | 18c | 2,053$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 18c | 1,713$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes | 20c | 1,281$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 5c | 1,261$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…d8cebacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 956.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 19c | 796.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes | 20c | 756.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4f…9569backed Yes | 3c | 680$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 16c | 662.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 20c | 641.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 631.67$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 19c | 598.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 17c | 558.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 543.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 17c | 432.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 14c | 414.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…3c36backed Yes | 21c | 411$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 16c | 375.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 20c | 335.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Yes | 18c | 321.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c58…7001backed Yes | 19c | 314.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 18c | 311.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…b7dbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 18c | 257.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 10c | 250.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 18c | 238.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…2e69backed No | 80c | 222$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 15c | 205$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…a5efbacked Yes | 17c | 193.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e4…4abebacked No | 80c | 189$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 17c | 187$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 15c | 164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 148.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…2a25backed Yes | 19c | 146.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…d5c8backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…c3c4backed Yes | 18c | 108.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 77c | 99.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 18c | 94.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 21c | 94.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 17c | 81.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…e5a0backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e0…5407backed Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 21c | 67.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…97c8backed Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 57.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…311dbacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 19c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Yes | 20c | 54.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cce…73e8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f60…c757backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…9a8ebacked No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…5037backed No | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…505fbacked No | 80c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e5…ad79backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0447backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…7688backed No | 80c | 25.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.