TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76e9…b7db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10445.2%47 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naefbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+57%+$40.95
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$34.14
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.9
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.03
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.82
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+217.4%+$63.06
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencicbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.78
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$148.73
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.54
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.05
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoebacked Eliot Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.48
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.02
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.19
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$156.72
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.08
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.29
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.