TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No75c38,802$29,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,725.261,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes53c32,000$16,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,9604045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes53c25,000$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,249.931573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,599.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes9c18,677$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.916942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c14,287$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.2922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c10,562$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,597.8887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No48c8,884$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.986443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c7,337$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.6512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No70c7,200$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c6,151$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c4,649$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No45c3,938$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.638254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked No47c3,760$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No71c3,549$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes30c3,478$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.535642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes29c3,423$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.132737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c3,022$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.2616644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes52c2,911$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.5812738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes53c2,509$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.9923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No47c2,468$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.669960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2736…4f36backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No47c2,222$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.663240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c2,160$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.7528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.668435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No47c1,958$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.6926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,868$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed Yes55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.911850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes12c1,261$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes44c1,200$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No69c1,144$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.097060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c1,064$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.445651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5302832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No47c957.43$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.442944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c938.2$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0611725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c928.95$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5212647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes53c911.07$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8710145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Yes34c879.5$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No47c851.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.053148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes52c846.15$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes52c810$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.23148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes21c801.45$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.361723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes51c749.64$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.923151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2d…bae8backed Yes54c740.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes52c697.63$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7912957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes24c649.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9612039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes45c642.36$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes54c640$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes42c632.17$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2667343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes53c625.07$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.293441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.64431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3182227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes22c531$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.823716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes40c504.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c495.28$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1318046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes52c434.62$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes54c417.42$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Yes53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…9d11backed Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No49c399.12$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No47c394.64$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No80c365$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes22c363.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes8c342.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes53c330.19$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes54c329.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bba…49babacked Yes7c326.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes53c325.51$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes17c323.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2784…e60abacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No47c299.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9816448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes15c295.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes26c288.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick21cpaid+204.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes22c283.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.073847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed No47c280$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes19c270.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.264447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No46c249.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0330448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c247.16$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3918351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes26c238$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.664748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No50c236$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11822854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes32c233$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes33c227.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes24c226.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.392944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No47c221$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.138644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes25c215.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes22c213.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e9…b7dbbacked Yes53c209.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…3e6abacked Yes53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No46c201.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4723342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.