TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No72c15,580$11,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,425.3722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes26c8,530$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.552737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c6,245$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.3924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c4,797$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.021,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c2,688$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.8133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c2,661$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c2,161$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes26c2,082$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9512963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c1,643$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.017060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No76c1,270$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.732944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c913.87$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No74c817.09$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.923847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c630.9$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.191,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15030448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes24c562.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1110145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125140%0 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c479.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No73c416.55$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.45829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes50c392.59$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19711725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2736…4f36backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes26c306.77$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.343828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes26c264.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.634447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No75c258.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c252.9$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No75c247$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.752466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No46c241.39$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.356334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No75c232$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Yes55c217.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5822340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No72c199.81$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.952259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No76c190.28$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c168.51$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No79c168$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.415951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes16c158.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+357.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c140.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2617817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c128.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4218155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c109.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5226041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes55c109.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2413250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes15c96.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Yes30c85.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2513844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes26c81.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes53c74.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.031526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes26c69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.112948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No73c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No75c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No46c61.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.031729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes29c58.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.362552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x025d…1a72backed Yes28c53.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c50.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes26c50.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1316448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…6b77backed Yes26c48.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No54c45.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.841952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked No75c41.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.479100%9 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No72c41.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7126046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No74c40.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.412842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2767…886abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No52c38.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No50c34.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2822854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked No74c33.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.634062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed No48c32.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No77c30.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes46c29.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3914544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9d…c024backed No74c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.046065%39 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No57c25.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes43c23.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Yes55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8410960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.98643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.