TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2767…886a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Premier League, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 65 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid+76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150.46
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+349%+$104.7
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$788.55
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+2,446.8%+$489.36
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$163.39
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200.21
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120.08
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+41.9%+$175.62
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$74.68
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+82.3%+$250.85
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$38.39
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.47per pick23cpaid+173.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+301.8%+$33.8
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+339.4%+$44.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$88.72
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.34
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$50.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$25.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Yelyzaveta Kotliarbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $255?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.