TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Memphis Tigersof UTSA Roadrunners, Memphis Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,697 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74cd…2319backed UTSA Roadrunners4c3,409$135 inLost-$135.41626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed UTSA Roadrunners5c2,345$110 inLost-$1102227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…e274backed UTSA Roadrunners3c1,793$52 inLost-$51.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UTSA Roadrunners3c1,122$33 inLost-$33.085,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked UTSA Roadrunners4c999.77$42 inLost-$41.531,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed UTSA Roadrunners3c892.51$24 inLost-$24.1718147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed UTSA Roadrunners5c762.47$36 inLost-$363910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…cb30backed UTSA Roadrunners5c601.5$31 inLost-$31.061414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-64.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed UTSA Roadrunners3c520.9$16 inLost-$1613550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2767…886abacked UTSA Roadrunners5c435.59$20 inLost-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UTSA Roadrunners4c388.97$15 inLost-$14.532,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked UTSA Roadrunners5c378.55$18 inLost-$17.925018%9 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe084…28ebbacked UTSA Roadrunners7c158.84$11 inLost-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.