Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5e05fc039703d66844d815476468d14618472f9e86ad58cc3c715942d17039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 533,398$280,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,777.49 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 400,000$188,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 120,000$57,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,600 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 53c | 72,000$38,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,840 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 48c | 45,009$21,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,604.08 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 15,936$7,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,637.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 10,620$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.78 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 8,952$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.53 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 4,528$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,817$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,031$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…39e5backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 54c | 380.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 361.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 336.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 307.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 252.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 49c | 224.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 51c | 119.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Under | 51c | 118.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Under | 51c | 115.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 47c | 114.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 49c | 112.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 49c | 109.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 48c | 87.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 75.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 47c | 70.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 61.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Over | 58c | 54.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 48c | 51.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…9439backed Under | 49c | 49.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…9c5ebacked Under | 50c | 49.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Under | 47c | 45.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…4ea6backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7451…f245backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9d…3950backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-20.5)Memphis Tigers won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-21.5)Memphis Tigers won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis TigersMemphis Tigers won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 143.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 144.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 145.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 146.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 148.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.