TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Memphis Tigers (-21.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Memphis Tigersof Memphis Tigers, UTSA Roadrunners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked UTSA Roadrunners53c1,824$961 inLost-$961.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Memphis Tigers47c1,658$779 inWon+$8792055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers50c766.01$383 inWon+$383.35,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UTSA Roadrunners50c588$295 inLost-$295.362,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Memphis Tigers51c485.9$250 inWon+$235.913350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UTSA Roadrunners52c361.25$188 inLost-$187.854,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Memphis Tigers45c348.18$157 inWon+$191.575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed UTSA Roadrunners49c211.86$104 inLost-$103.8182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed UTSA Roadrunners48c170$82 inLost-$82.448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed UTSA Roadrunners51c102$52 inLost-$52.025844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed UTSA Roadrunners51c66$34 inLost-$33.668043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed UTSA Roadrunners52c50$26 inLost-$26.21,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Memphis Tigers49c36$18 inWon+$18.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed UTSA Roadrunners52c34$18 inLost-$17.685364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UTSA Roadrunners52c30$16 inLost-$15.61,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Memphis Tigers49c26$13 inWon+$13.263855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UTSA Roadrunners55c24.79$14 inLost-$13.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Memphis Tigers49c23$11 inWon+$11.732653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Memphis Tigers49c23$11 inWon+$11.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.