TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c8e…22c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST6648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+102%+$61.22
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.21
Morehead State Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Stetson Hatters vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.83
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.81
Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-9.5)backed Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojans: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$39.47
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$48.75
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$108.15
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.23
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+98.4%+$34.43
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+90.9%+$22.74
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$389.53
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43.51
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$77.18
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST4858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+86.9%+$43.47
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$20.44
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$168.15
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$26.43
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+58.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$109.68
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$45.95
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30.75
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$29.16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+379.8%+$134.26
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.78
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1)backed paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+120.3%+$72.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+57.9%+$44.4
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$58.24
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Will Angola win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Peru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$95.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.72
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$122.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+323.5%+$103.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+231.2%+$34.68
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$62.46
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$21.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.