TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers48c124,618$59,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,161.481,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets53c53,187$27,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,947.841,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,80038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Lakers48c38,525$18,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,863.926651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Nets53c18,478$9,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,793.1660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Lakers47c17,183$8,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,100.757240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Nets53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.9920744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nets53c13,659$7,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.762,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers48c12,981$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,776.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers47c12,950$6,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,863.52,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets50c12,538$6,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,209.531,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Lakers48c10,413$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.813850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lakers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers52c9,231$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.7729347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets48c9,104$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.7287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets51c7,328$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.2748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Lakers47c6,719$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.155154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Nets53c6,400$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,39258449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets53c5,467$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.861,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Nets52c5,288$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75023052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Lakers48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets52c5,072$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.442,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Lakers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers50c4,870$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers47c4,444$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets53c3,984$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Nets53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nets5c2,900$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets52c2,740$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Nets51c2,569$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.3171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers48c2,350$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets45c2,259$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers46c2,028$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets2c2,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.652,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Lakers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets50c1,878$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nets53c1,732$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.6164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Nets53c1,623$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Nets53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.9941553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers48c1,485$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nets53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets52c1,332$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers50c1,290$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.792,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers47c1,276$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.282,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Nets54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64823644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets50c1,196$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.851,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers46c1,153$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.875,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…4363backed Lakers47c1,089$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.253033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Nets52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Lakers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nets53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Lakers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers48c862.49$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers47c804$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.121,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Nets52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4164146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Nets52c799.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4162045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Lakers52c799.98$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets50c731.63$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Lakers48c660.91$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.39051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32520754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Nets53c567$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5140648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers49c566.27$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.891,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Nets54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets52c527.54$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3240947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Nets52c511.62$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.041533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Nets54c505.05$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Lakers49c504.72$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.519647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Lakers47c489.36$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3666046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Lakers48c385.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.423458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6453…f156backed Nets54c356.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c8…62a9backed Nets54c353.93$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a31…00cbbacked Lakers47c352.35$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab36…7e52backed Nets54c350.72$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7c…0213backed Lakers47c350.42$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2803…662cbacked Lakers47c345.94$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Lakers48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612543.2%54 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Nets53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Lakers47c265.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.968339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nets55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers55c216.52$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Nets48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.823748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Nets52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Nets52c190.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9910143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers49c180.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Lakers52c179.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0811942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Nets52c168.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.549051.1%46 W · 44 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Lakers51c159.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Nets49c154.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8234047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Nets53c152.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8431155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Lakers52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Nets53c144.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7918446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Nets50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Lakers49c135.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Nets54c134.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.