TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x516a…a2edbacked Lakers57c6,524$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Nets47c6,500$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.9824252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers53c5,166$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets48c4,092$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.632,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Lakers51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers52c3,898$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.9925945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets48c3,843$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.521,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets49c3,236$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Lakers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets47c2,901$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nets48c2,716$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nets47c2,393$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.6987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets44c2,166$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Nets48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets48c2,050$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Nets43c1,986$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.1311753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers53c1,950$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Lakers53c1,558$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.2556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Lakers53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lakers53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0923052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets47c1,411$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets46c1,196$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.211,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Lakers52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.996055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets47c958$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2685147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Lakers53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.47150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Lakers53c931.7$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.911048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers51c799.97$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9828448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Nets47c695.03$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32819647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Lakers52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0816743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Lakers52c615.38$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.387862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Nets43c581$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8311942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Nets50c500$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.79051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Lakers52c432.69$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6926553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Lakers54c392.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6913464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c70…a951backed Nets47c381$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c9…6adbbacked Lakers54c381$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.26850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Nets47c297.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nets43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets47c219.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.11,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets47c214.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.751,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Lakers52c208.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86dd…98aabacked Lakers49c204.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Nets47c204.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.195642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Nets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013540.7%55 W · 80 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Lakers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6825056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed Lakers52c180.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.774748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets43c157.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nets50c156$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2250651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers53c153.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Lakers53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Lakers53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nets45c141.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.541,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets48c131$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.881,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets47c108.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.671,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Nets49c97.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5631155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Nets49c89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3247045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9460…97d5backed Nets47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Lakers53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5815846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers54c58.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.022,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Lakers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Lakers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nets49c48.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Nets48c47.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7957657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nets50c47.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6148451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Nets49c46.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Nets49c40.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Lakers53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Lakers56c39.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.525853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Lakers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7412561.6%77 W · 48 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets47c32.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.383,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f35…5016backed Nets46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+98.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Lakers52c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Nets49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeccd…d68abacked Nets44c30.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nets50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Nets49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.735049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Nets43c29.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8639756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Lakers53c29.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf902…d23fbacked Lakers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Lakers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Nets47c27.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Lakers54c26.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0517353.8%93 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cea…5013backed Nets43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers53c22.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.691,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Nets47c21.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3225143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x364c…2e92backed Lakers56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.