TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80c3…ed8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+150%+$63.34
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$40.5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Tricked (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+64.1%+$80.98
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64.14
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$51.2
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$94.5
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$146.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$190.32
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.5%+$645.37
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$197.21
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$135.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$87.83
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+223.8%+$82.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94.74
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.63
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.88
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+105.1%+$203.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+159.7%+$30.75
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+102%+$10.41
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+300%+$84.38
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$48.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.76
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+165.2%+$55.62
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$78.16
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.34
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56.44
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$254.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$363
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$315.7
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+193.7%+$641.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$223.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$370.53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100.8%+$226.63
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$85.13
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$131.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$320.16
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$103.9
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.03
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$83.39
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Normal Powell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36.79
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.33
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$406.2
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$340.54
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$100
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$143.9
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$100
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.73
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200.73
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.13
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.65
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84.35
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$78.75
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs The Bandits (+1.5)backed The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$91.48
LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Groupbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+204.7%+$160.27
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+205.4%+$105.83
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.13
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138.76
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82.78
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$222.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.42
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77.45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.23
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.35
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54.59
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+307.4%+$59.86
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+27.5%+$9.6
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$50
Spread: Murray State Racers (-6.5)backed UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.68
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-13.5)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$50.53
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.38
Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-9.5)backed Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$100.41
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.93
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$181.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$340.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Olga Danilovicbacked Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+54.3%+$206.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$95.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.