TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LNG Esportsof LNG Esports, Ultra Prime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…af18backed Ultra Prime0c58,887$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.213775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Ultra Prime17c24,165$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215.8610446.2%48 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Ultra Prime21c8,867$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.6620354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Ultra Prime19c7,323$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.8926942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Ultra Prime17c6,823$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.321,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Ultra Prime19c6,595$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.431,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Ultra Prime16c5,918$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.118914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Ultra Prime1c4,987$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.346297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Ultra Prime16c4,782$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.5717933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Ultra Prime18c4,653$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.3477131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked LNG Esports80c4,137$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.0570162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Ultra Prime28c3,559$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3663161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Ultra Prime7c3,322$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.541,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Ultra Prime5c3,261$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0542840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked LNG Esports77c2,200$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Ultra Prime19c2,000$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked LNG Esports78c1,732$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.6212045%54 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ultra Prime19c1,684$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.992,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Ultra Prime7c1,562$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.451,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed LNG Esports64c1,458$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9529856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Ultra Prime18c1,250$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Ultra Prime16c1,115$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1618…65a2backed LNG Esports80c1,087$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.461681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Ultra Prime15c1,018$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LNG Esports59c1,009$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7148353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Ultra Prime19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.941,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Ultra Prime10c999.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10152538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4901…8832backed Ultra Prime6c980.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Ultra Prime21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Ultra Prime19c930.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.761,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca2…93f7backed Ultra Prime19c930$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.72532%8 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Ultra Prime3c926.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Ultra Prime18c900.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Ultra Prime38c896.12$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9914044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Ultra Prime20c853.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5350242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Ultra Prime17c851.62$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5282352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LNG Esports64c808.9$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.121,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…03a7backed LNG Esports69c722.66$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Ultra Prime19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13330050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Ultra Prime24c689.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.551,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1a…abadbacked LNG Esports56c669.46$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.464233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Ultra Prime17c647.94$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4212042.5%51 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed LNG Esports59c646.94$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9740364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Ultra Prime19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Ultra Prime19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11471249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Ultra Prime19c548.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.255141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4aa…2ea8backed LNG Esports49c540.21$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.233928.2%11 W · 28 L-9.5wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Ultra Prime19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.595847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc872…0cc9backed Ultra Prime19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.495648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Ultra Prime19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked LNG Esports29c473.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5631435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LNG Esports48c438.75$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9756650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcc…5b93backed LNG Esports63c434.1$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.299966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Ultra Prime35c431.14$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6475942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Ultra Prime39c406.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Ultra Prime20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.951,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed LNG Esports79c400$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.821754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d90…1c27backed Ultra Prime3c384.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3213835.5%49 W · 89 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed Ultra Prime15c334.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Ultra Prime17c332.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.84146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ultra Prime26c327.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.791,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb3…6d0bbacked Ultra Prime65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Ultra Prime19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.721735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Ultra Prime20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010056%56 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5643…0b4bbacked Ultra Prime24c299.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Ultra Prime4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0121233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Ultra Prime22c270.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.291,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Ultra Prime19c264.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Ultra Prime19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Ultra Prime21c260.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Ultra Prime53c255.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0223240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Ultra Prime29c252$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0245937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed LNG Esports80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507656.6%43 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Ultra Prime19c250$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4964453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Ultra Prime17c231.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.443542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed Ultra Prime18c223.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405038%19 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Ultra Prime5c212.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.644955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Ultra Prime65c208$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.21,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LNG Esports63c203.71$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.251,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ultra Prime22c203.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.671,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Ultra Prime25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010937.6%41 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked LNG Esports52c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.366116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Ultra Prime20c199.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.951723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed LNG Esports59c183.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.321546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed LNG Esports76c178.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1485652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed LNG Esports76c173.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2514562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1229…3691backed LNG Esports79c170$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613644.9%61 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4258…ced7backed Ultra Prime18c163.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed LNG Esports62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.913056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed LNG Esports80c150.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Ultra Prime31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.715538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e65…b9f2backed Ultra Prime10c136$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.256235.5%22 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Ultra Prime20c127.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Ultra Prime24c125.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025146.2%116 W · 135 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea75…55d5backed LNG Esports65c124.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.358159.3%48 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Ultra Prime18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Ultra Prime19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed LNG Esports25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Ultra Prime19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Ultra Prime16c93.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519339.9%77 W · 116 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.