TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7d5…d4d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7656.6%43 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.37
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$281.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$74.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$329.39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$212.48
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+82.6%+$208.97
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$113.51
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$602.98
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$314.29
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$431.99
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$299.92
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$144
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$205.15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$242
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$529
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.3%+$146.49
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$184.74
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.6%+$39.12
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.14
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.6%+$147.15
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.96
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.72
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$187.29
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$229.48
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.87
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$267.07
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$199.7
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$114.21
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$200.8
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.59
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$264.41
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$140.81
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$187.14
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.4%+$153.27
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$299.76
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5062%31 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.58
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.11
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.95
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Aoriqileng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.34
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$375.73
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.35
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$357.3
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcus Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.39
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$172.13
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.77
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$98.79
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$134.89
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Marcio Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$98.5
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.5
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$49.19
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.86
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.36
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.66
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.34
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$34.78
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Ramsbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$17.28
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$53.8
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.31
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$149
Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$78.3
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+30%+$43.49
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$25.75
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$24.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.38
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$304.46
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$90.58
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.9
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$857.99
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.2%+$128.81
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$85.59
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$400.32
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$117.31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$96.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$114.53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100.1%+$215.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$110.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.