UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2b4d8d91064d1475b059e1884a20923aa2a7f6c82514637b4bbc0cf6cdb685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Song Yadongof Song Yadong, Deiveson Figueiredo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 29,071$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 17c | 26,416$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.95 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 17c | 10,137$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.1 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Song Yadong | 76c | 9,912$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.35 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 9,079$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 17c | 9,023$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.9 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 8,396$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.37 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 7,609$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 6,900$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 6,748$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 6,735$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 6,234$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.1 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 16c | 6,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.84 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 26c | 5,639$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.03 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 5,600$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 23c | 5,337$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Song Yadong | 80c | 5,334$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.79 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 5,261$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 4,347$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 4,150$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…baa0backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 3,965$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.21 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 32c | 3,817$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 3,164$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 3,026$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Song Yadong | 79c | 3,009$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 17c | 2,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 21c | 2,535$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Song Yadong | 78c | 2,227$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 14c | 2,209$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Song Yadong | 79c | 2,058$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Song Yadong | 77c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Song Yadong | 80c | 1,837$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.91 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…a677backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,776$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,763$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…714abacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,740$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,659$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…1cc2backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 1,580$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 1,580$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 4c | 1,385$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,306$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…edadbacked Song Yadong | 77c | 1,294$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…01a0backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,194$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…505dbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 1,178$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…0daebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 21c | 1,136$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Song Yadong | 74c | 1,127$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 16c | 1,123$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fb…7481backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,040$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 3c | 1,031$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 1,006$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…31e6backed Song Yadong | 73c | 919.96$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Song Yadong | 75c | 900$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…e6dbbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 20c | 898.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 27c | 845.79$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 806.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 20c | 791.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Song Yadong | 80c | 784.64$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 779.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 728.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 668.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 658.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 626.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Song Yadong | 77c | 625.96$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 616.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 23c | 606.78$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 599.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…d256backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 594.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 573.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…27cfbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Song Yadong | 79c | 543.42$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…cc99backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 523.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e968backed Song Yadong | 77c | 522.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 513.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…fb8abacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 20c | 505.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 489.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 16c | 488.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…8ab3backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 485.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 481.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 457$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Deiveson Figueiredo | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 23c | 440.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Deiveson Figueiredo | 19c | 437.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.