TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cdc…25d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.8
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$981.89
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.65
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.49
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.94
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$136.45
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$151.97
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.7
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.4
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$402.54
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.85
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.7
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.02
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$208.8
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.47
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.28
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$302.87
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.06
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.94
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$211.04
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.56
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.98
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.44
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Daniel Evansbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Anton Matusevich vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$186.2
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$151.96
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broombacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$309.21
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$292.98
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.27
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$82.19
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.62
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.11
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$120.42
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$217.52
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.24
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.17
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.42
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$114
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$228.56
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.93
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$64.08
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.68
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Junior Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.51
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jordan Leavitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.47
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Khaos Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$104.42
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Ketlen Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$63.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.58
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.09
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.68
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.86
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$64.8
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$126.23
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$113.16
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.76
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$148.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.8
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$168.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.