UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c9e0a5ec2bb38a44b524c8dcf3e32387bae8c3de074c0d28b7ee6e4aa7d245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brendan Allenof Brendan Allen, Edmen Shahbazyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 300,000$188,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,113.35 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 276,660$102,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,364.06 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 39c | 60,028$23,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,408.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 23c | 50,956$11,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,943.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Brendan Allen | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Brendan Allen | 79c | 36,652$28,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,682.06 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 31,947$11,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,820.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 31,805$11,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,767.85 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 28,382$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,713.57 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 27c | 27,293$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,403.13 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Brendan Allen | 75c | 24,097$18,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brendan Allen | 64c | 21,083$13,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.59 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 20,825$7,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.73 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 15,900$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brendan Allen | 62c | 14,275$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.57 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 11,620$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.76 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Brendan Allen | 72c | 9,998$7,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.33 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Brendan Allen | 61c | 8,554$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 8,075$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 13c | 7,403$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.22 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 7,282$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.96 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Brendan Allen | 71c | 7,063$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brendan Allen | 73c | 6,269$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.22 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Brendan Allen | 61c | 6,111$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.29 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Brendan Allen | 63c | 5,793$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.45 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 4,998$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 4,492$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.86 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 10c | 4,351$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 4,261$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 3,888$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.44 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Brendan Allen | 73c | 3,880$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.7 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brendan Allen | 60c | 3,764$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.64 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 39c | 3,354$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 39c | 3,133$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 3,072$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.58 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.97 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Brendan Allen | 66c | 2,954$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.84 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Brendan Allen | 73c | 2,513$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Brendan Allen | 64c | 2,355$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.49 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 2,254$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.97 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 2,014$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.16 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Brendan Allen | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 28c | 2,000$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Brendan Allen | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,710$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.94 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Brendan Allen | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.07 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 1,590$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 1,590$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 10c | 1,586$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Brendan Allen | 71c | 1,491$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.46 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 1,480$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.64 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 1,458$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Brendan Allen | 78c | 1,433$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 1,389$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.79 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Brendan Allen | 64c | 1,328$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,322$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.36 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 16c | 1,185$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,148$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.41 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 19c | 1,106$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brendan Allen | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.17 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 17c | 1,093$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 23c | 1,056$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Brendan Allen | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Brendan Allen | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Brendan Allen | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 986.02$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…266bbacked Edmen Shahbazyan | 34c | 969.16$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Brendan Allen | 63c | 900$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 35c | 891.47$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Edmen Shahbazyan | 38c | 863.97$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Brendan Allen | 72c | 830.7$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Brendan Allen | 66c | 800$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Brendan Allen | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Brendan Allen | 65c | 799.84$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Brendan Allen | 63c | 795$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Brendan Allen | 77c | 782.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Brendan Allen | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Brendan Allen | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- Will Brendan Allen win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.