TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e7a…1eec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,116
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 61 out of 100; worst AI at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT31453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 314 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$184.88
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$3,972.86
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+198.9%+$3,679.13
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+86%+$116.15
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+177%+$1,916.99
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$955
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,260
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,052
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$902
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$6,675.17
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35%+$1,399.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$546
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$715
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$484.62
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,983.37
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$798
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$745.84
Showing 25 of 314 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT29848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 298 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$222.88
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Namo Fazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Borislav Nikolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$702.7
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.71
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$258.82
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jared Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Damien Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed RJ Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$459.13
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$305.56
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$638.82
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$111.33
Will Elisha Ellison win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$761.51
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Cesar Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$68.7
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 298 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$2,228.57
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$1,074.8
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,087.2
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$2,225.81
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$94.9
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$205.56
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.8
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$203.42
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+67%+$1,043
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$463.59
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$262.61
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.5
Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$107
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.82
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.64
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$367.37
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.28
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$742.32
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$186
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$277.97
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$453.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$766.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$715
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.28
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.65
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$636
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.32
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,283.78
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$408.87
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.57
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$517.58
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$185.28
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 71–80 times during March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$59.07
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 61–70 times during March Madness?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,560
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.74
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$402.43
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$535.5
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.76
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,275
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.13
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.29
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,224
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,717.94
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$1,389.23
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$830
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$447.6
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,618.77
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.98
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$375
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.25
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,587.53
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,950.98
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$3,403.69
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Trent Williams be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.71
Will Kyler Murray play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+276.3%+$1,160.44
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$941.18
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+87%+$87.04
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63.64
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.6%+$227.12
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333.33
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,501.04
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$246.09
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$183.87
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+93.1%+$55.15
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+78.5%+$95.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$689
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$480
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.95
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.17
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$410.87
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+89.6%+$89.56
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$538.46
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$146.51
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$386.19
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$671.02
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.05
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+115.9%+$579.57
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$416.33
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$29.96
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$451.32
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$764.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$158.57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.44
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.88
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+158.9%+$120.74
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$160.78
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.72
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.51
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.72
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$290.63
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$265.04
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.99
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$12.6
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+230.8%+$317.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$24.38
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.14
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$35.24
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$53.2
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.18
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.08
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$13.4
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.06
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$120.64
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$112.26
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.12
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$155.12
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$15.94
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$264.98
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.9%+$613.06
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$63
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-50.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anthropic CEO arrested?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$326.83
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$429.31
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.26
Will Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.3
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44%+$45.38
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.34
Will Trump say "Cook" or "Jensen" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.83
Will Trump say "Build your own" or "Make your own" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73.83
Will Trump say "High IQ" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88.65
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "Trump RX" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.67
Will Trump say "Hell" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$121.56
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.8%+$20.12
Will Trump say "Dell" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
Will Trump say "Tariff" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$142.41
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial" 5+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.54
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.53
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+250.7%+$1,265.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.69
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.22
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$1,165
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$226.87
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$1,712.03
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$1,067.2
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+164.5%+$493.62
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+188.6%+$2,394.63
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30.6%+$673.93
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+52.5%+$341.31
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+67.2%+$268.61
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$668.58
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+195.3%+$488.14
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$307
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.2
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$164
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.61
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.43
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$108.2
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.97
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$55.75
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$255.38
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+106.2%+$82.4
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$228
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.81
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$48.6
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.75
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+615.1%+$259.98
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$79.23
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.98
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$157.27
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+331.1%+$331.12
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mystics vs. Sparksbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mystics vs. Valkyriesbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$305.22
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$278
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.54
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.66
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+232.5%+$38.6
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+428.9%+$785.03
Will Wesley Hunt win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$289
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.85
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$34.24
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.79
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150.96
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+61.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.78
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$995.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$161.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+89.4%+$566.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.