TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,394 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Over49c47,298$23,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,104.4460949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under49c23,059$11,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,651.58148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over50c19,825$9,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,912.544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under51c17,656$9,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,611.0839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c14,479$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,271.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under50c8,446$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,222.771,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c8,419$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,214.6118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c8,406$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.1884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c7,936$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.384348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Under50c7,920$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.071030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over50c7,703$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,871.621646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under50c6,811$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.694744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c5,929$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Under50c5,806$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.162653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c4,766$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.162445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under51c4,268$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.6218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under50c4,029$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.618946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Under52c3,915$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,539$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.452,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec9…75c7backed Over50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7502860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under52c3,213$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.233154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under58c3,025$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4567…b970backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c2,989$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.3125043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,974$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.8827947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c2,934$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.5515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over49c2,912$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.052729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c2,800$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.21,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…5e9ebacked Under52c2,700$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2961266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c2,617$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under74c2,537$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.574,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over51c2,430$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over50c2,348$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1745942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under51c2,214$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.8314447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under61c2,011$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.191,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c2,000$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.432,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over49c1,991$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.932751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c1,971$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,920$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.111,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under52c1,899$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.644143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over49c1,770$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.497643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Under51c1,636$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c1,585$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.95,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under48c1,489$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.984944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c1,452$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.610543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under52c1,451$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.572356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c1,368$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.572,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under51c1,341$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.5212344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Over48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6243847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under79c1,285$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.242,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,229$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4446246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under50c1,190$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.752572%18 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Under51c1,141$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.32552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under51c1,101$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.354454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5286142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under50c1,033$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.158444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae46…a663backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa010…98bdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…1ef7backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.633740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over48c762$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.765639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under51c743.44$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2910451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c737.81$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c713.03$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.815,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35016147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c694.07$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c598.09$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3584854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b1…4814backed Under50c504.12$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Under78c499.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under50c499.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.655149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over43c442.35$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under50c442.1$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.052540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under50c436.09$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0513343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c413.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c405.48$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8216650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over51c397.96$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.962236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over52c396.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.183256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over40c389$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.261947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under65c375.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.415143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c299.63$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8262451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c298.37$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over52c285.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6927045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under53c278.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.523441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.53372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under63c262.21$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.757655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under50c259.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.964355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe838…50f2backed Under49c253.51$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.