TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Kentucky Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,519,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519,814 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d6…be17backed Iowa State Cyclones55c198,982$109,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,935.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kentucky Wildcats48c100,350$47,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,986.4246246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Iowa State Cyclones53c60,019$31,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,024.3339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa State Cyclones50c54,791$27,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,309.3525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c44,708$21,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,012.661,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats46c44,440$20,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,377.752,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kentucky Wildcats44c40,015$17,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,479.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Iowa State Cyclones53c37,173$19,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,471.426245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Iowa State Cyclones52c36,329$18,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,472.04837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Iowa State Cyclones55c34,507$18,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,683.333850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Iowa State Cyclones52c30,031$15,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,414.9817742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Kentucky Wildcats48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Iowa State Cyclones53c25,738$13,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,104.221149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Kentucky Wildcats45c20,343$9,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,154.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kentucky Wildcats48c18,847$9,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,046.3617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa State Cyclones53c18,086$9,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,482.4633438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c17,506$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kentucky Wildcats47c16,451$7,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,789.5418744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Kentucky Wildcats48c14,994$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,197.3214854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Iowa State Cyclones51c11,010$5,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.152650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Kentucky Wildcats47c10,022$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.4715556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kentucky Wildcats48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9810745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kentucky Wildcats47c9,792$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,587.361,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Kentucky Wildcats46c9,565$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.995942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c9,097$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.1515748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Iowa State Cyclones52c9,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2803333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kentucky Wildcats47c8,507$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.7884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Kentucky Wildcats49c8,426$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.5718548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Kentucky Wildcats48c8,366$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.8113453%71 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kentucky Wildcats48c8,362$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.041,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kentucky Wildcats48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8408946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c7,483$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.2390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Kentucky Wildcats47c7,290$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.5518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Iowa State Cyclones51c7,133$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.0210648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kentucky Wildcats47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2902729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Kentucky Wildcats46c6,600$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04714447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Kentucky Wildcats46c6,568$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.668946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…b4a7backed Kentucky Wildcats48c5,858$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Iowa State Cyclones52c5,700$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7218350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Kentucky Wildcats47c5,191$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.5410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c5,127$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.694143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Kentucky Wildcats48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.995650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Iowa State Cyclones52c4,461$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.135947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Kentucky Wildcats51c4,255$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.074654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Iowa State Cyclones53c4,235$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.768444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kentucky Wildcats49c4,046$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5121248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Iowa State Cyclones52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kentucky Wildcats47c3,987$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.9622349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c3,987$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.936142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Iowa State Cyclones53c3,767$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.3213343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kentucky Wildcats49c3,604$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.8810543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats53c3,350$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.265,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Kentucky Wildcats46c3,076$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.961850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Kentucky Wildcats49c2,468$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.955552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Kentucky Wildcats46c2,331$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kentucky Wildcats47c2,283$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Iowa State Cyclones54c2,248$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.527643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c2,234$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.5650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Kentucky Wildcats47c2,178$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.94438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Kentucky Wildcats47c2,094$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1916341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kentucky Wildcats48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9934746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Kentucky Wildcats48c2,034$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.663647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cb…6741backed Kentucky Wildcats46c2,030$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Kentucky Wildcats46c2,020$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.9318556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f1…d942backed Kentucky Wildcats46c2,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Kentucky Wildcats47c2,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9302356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf295…508fbacked Kentucky Wildcats48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Kentucky Wildcats46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9203748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68f9…0be1backed Kentucky Wildcats45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Iowa State Cyclones43c1,930$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.791947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Kentucky Wildcats47c1,925$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.53138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1e2…fee7backed Kentucky Wildcats46c1,914$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kentucky Wildcats45c1,832$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Kentucky Wildcats48c1,812$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.882445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kentucky Wildcats48c1,793$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.5274051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kentucky Wildcats48c1,717$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.3692246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Kentucky Wildcats59c1,676$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.921729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x897e…4153backed Kentucky Wildcats46c1,674$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Kentucky Wildcats49c1,643$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.0713343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kentucky Wildcats46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c1,446$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.554360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Kentucky Wildcats47c1,377$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.417938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Kentucky Wildcats47c1,305$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.943847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf003…0a0cbacked Kentucky Wildcats45c1,293$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Kentucky Wildcats49c1,288$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Iowa State Cyclones54c1,244$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.373345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Kentucky Wildcats49c1,241$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.743441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Kentucky Wildcats47c1,216$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.344656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Kentucky Wildcats46c1,176$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.754854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Iowa State Cyclones52c1,170$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.812552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd535…fa67backed Kentucky Wildcats45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Kentucky Wildcats48c1,087$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.5822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Kentucky Wildcats48c1,054$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.841650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Kentucky Wildcats54c1,052$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8421636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Iowa State Cyclones52c1,048$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.266446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Kentucky Wildcats46c1,043$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.793647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Kentucky Wildcats48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.994035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Kentucky Wildcats46c1,029$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2110443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kentucky Wildcats46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.