TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,192 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c60,742$28,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,307.8625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under55c40,704$22,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,316.6821636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c25,338$11,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,457.138148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c13,521$7,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,108.9346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under55c9,913$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over53c9,688$5,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,134.7114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c67…38cbbacked Under51c8,416$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,123.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over49c6,022$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.984744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c5,765$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.5417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over52c5,308$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.0960949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c4,948$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.6974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c4,782$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.522349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,165$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under55c2,974$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.313348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.918048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c1,611$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.622,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73513343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73516341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x295e…218abacked Over49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under47c1,055$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.9127947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Over49c980$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.23647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c945.2$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.051,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over54c664.18$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.653348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c652.97$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.075,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over54c613.34$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.218845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under47c550.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.025149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under48c530.99$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.638230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over54c477.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0240755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c423.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c396.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over54c367.15$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.265561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over54c267.65$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5322954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over54c267.65$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over54c214.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.635959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under48c204.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4522250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over53c196.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.035660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over54c188.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7116054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under47c184.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.710458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over51c179.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.57354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.88535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under55c145.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6532246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over54c135.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.348245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over53c111$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8312254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Over54c100.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.094463.6%28 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under46c95.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.652843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c73.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.659153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over50c66.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over54c59.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.121650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over54c55.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.984065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over54c55.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Under48c52.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.296758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over53c51.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.324959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Under41c47.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.074148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214c…9fa1backed Under51c46.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e6…7cefbacked Over54c45.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b47…4dd1backed Over50c43.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over53c42.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5516650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3839…17a7backed Over50c40.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…cd5dbacked Under51c40.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c40.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4613356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under49c39.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2216551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58dc…3296backed Under51c38.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aad…4927backed Over50c38.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over49c37.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.472040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6309…b6b7backed Over50c37.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under47c36.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.547160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42e6…c8f5backed Under51c34.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c33.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.852729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Over54c32.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.494562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over50c32.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.237745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a4…da61backed Under49c30.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c29.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6329650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…8d4bbacked Over53c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.43per pick54cpaid-79.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Over54c27.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.874951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.784961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over54c25.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9222656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Over54c25.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.924953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over54c25.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.926654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under64c24.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.972142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Over53c24.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.134459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under49c21.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2530649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c21.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…cd57backed Over52c21.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Over52c21.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.055038%19 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under68c14.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.716464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.