TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Kentucky Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,158 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1a2…14b8backed Iowa State Cyclones46c12,305$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,665.472445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State Cyclones47c8,071$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa State Cyclones47c7,820$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.552,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats53c7,364$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Kentucky Wildcats53c6,398$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.995341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Kentucky Wildcats54c5,577$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.592653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa State Cyclones46c5,196$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kentucky Wildcats53c4,943$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.532729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Iowa State Cyclones47c4,557$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.122040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c3,400$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80215858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Kentucky Wildcats53c3,011$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.017251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Iowa State Cyclones46c2,104$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.9118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Iowa State Cyclones47c2,091$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.140755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Iowa State Cyclones50c2,024$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.4844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0447…3cd9backed Kentucky Wildcats55c1,802$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Kentucky Wildcats53c1,583$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.9355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa State Cyclones49c1,405$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.3925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kentucky Wildcats49c1,077$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.1246246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Kentucky Wildcats53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Iowa State Cyclones48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52037246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Iowa State Cyclones48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Iowa State Cyclones50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a1…e6d5backed Kentucky Wildcats53c748.14$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.512441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Kentucky Wildcats54c545.22$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4223754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Kentucky Wildcats51c508.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.578230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Iowa State Cyclones46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Kentucky Wildcats54c445.17$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.943647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Iowa State Cyclones45c415.12$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3234343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e3…a9eebacked Kentucky Wildcats51c399.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Iowa State Cyclones48c299.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Iowa State Cyclones47c297.39$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats55c289.87$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Iowa State Cyclones49c242.76$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.813953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kentucky Wildcats54c218.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9724649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Iowa State Cyclones47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768c…dc52backed Iowa State Cyclones47c204.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b0…379dbacked Kentucky Wildcats51c199.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Kentucky Wildcats52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Kentucky Wildcats53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1318846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Iowa State Cyclones46c186.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.461,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Kentucky Wildcats55c184.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Kentucky Wildcats54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7011…b9cfbacked Kentucky Wildcats54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Kentucky Wildcats54c169.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.25044%22 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Iowa State Cyclones47c152.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8210458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Iowa State Cyclones45c152.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1735338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kentucky Wildcats54c133.34$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Iowa State Cyclones47c128.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1321342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Iowa State Cyclones47c120.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.725444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11bf…770dbacked Iowa State Cyclones46c107.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.195024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Iowa State Cyclones49c105.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.681,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kentucky Wildcats54c102.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.367045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Iowa State Cyclones49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.596048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Iowa State Cyclones47c99.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5829650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kentucky Wildcats52c98.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.051,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Kentucky Wildcats76c94.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.429441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Kentucky Wildcats54c92.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.573537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4614…9cd6backed Kentucky Wildcats54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa State Cyclones39c86.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.914,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Iowa State Cyclones46c85.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa State Cyclones45c85.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8527755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Iowa State Cyclones47c83.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.334866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kentucky Wildcats55c79.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Kentucky Wildcats52c69.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0840849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Iowa State Cyclones45c66.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Iowa State Cyclones45c66.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1952843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Iowa State Cyclones46c64.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7327650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f8…22babacked Iowa State Cyclones46c64.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Iowa State Cyclones49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6211854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Kentucky Wildcats48c61.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kentucky Wildcats53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c59.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9313356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Iowa State Cyclones49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.799454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Iowa State Cyclones45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Kentucky Wildcats53c46.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.674334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Kentucky Wildcats55c45.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.789256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Kentucky Wildcats51c44.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Kentucky Wildcats54c41.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Kentucky Wildcats53c39.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Kentucky Wildcats53c36.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Kentucky Wildcats44c32.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.387745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c31.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2512147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Iowa State Cyclones48c30.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.116758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Iowa State Cyclones47c30.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Kentucky Wildcats67c28.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Kentucky Wildcats53c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.875139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…06b3backed Kentucky Wildcats53c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.874548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fb…f59abacked Iowa State Cyclones47c21.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0dd…5f78backed Kentucky Wildcats68c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Kentucky Wildcats52c20.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8263551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Kentucky Wildcats57c19.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Kentucky Wildcats62c18.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.532142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.