TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccd0…2222

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT11346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+117%+$29.26
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$50.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$91.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.36
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.8
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.19
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7154.9%39 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$328.72
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$127.21
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$188.11
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$84.35
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$85.68
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.09
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.7%+$64.74
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$410.14
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39.2%+$25.97
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59%+$45.27
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+73%+$73.02
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+43.3%+$19.49
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.5%+$124.52
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.3%+$21.4
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+152.1%+$33.63
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.9
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.8
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.8
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$225.94
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.23
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.75
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.13
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$210.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$146.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$92.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.7%+$17.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+33.9%+$16.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Moura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.