TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Vikings vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vikingsof Vikings, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,437,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,671,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,437,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Giants43c322,808$138,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,807.2411145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Vikings57c185,000$105,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,55024957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Giants43c128,268$54,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,571.9786547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Vikings57c100,720$57,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,309.442030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Vikings60c83,310$49,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,3242161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Vikings61c81,968$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,968.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vikings72c71,403$51,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,119.763070%21 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Giants39c71,133$27,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,741.7516955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Vikings58c65,210$37,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,445.3747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Giants41c45,773$18,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,964.2773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Vikings57c34,785$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,785.246459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Vikings57c30,358$17,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,053.9419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Giants43c30,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,90013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Giants42c27,863$11,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,687.5175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Giants41c23,197$9,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,620.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Giants32c20,276$6,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,404.5111643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Vikings57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6007440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Vikings57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.9816545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Giants19c19,882$3,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,825.5223244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants32c19,444$6,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,161.6668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Vikings79c17,955$14,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.483748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giants37c17,321$6,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,357.2450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Giants40c17,026$6,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,810.4331543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Giants42c15,832$6,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.3311544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Vikings75c12,900$9,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Vikings58c10,345$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.8313142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Giants43c10,088$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.921254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Giants38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Giants43c9,278$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Giants42c9,254$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.837248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Vikings59c8,715$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.498551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Vikings59c8,445$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.8353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Vikings57c8,327$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.6512744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Vikings58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3605472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Giants42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.934330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Vikings56c7,912$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.57255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Vikings58c7,268$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.191485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+84.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Vikings57c7,012$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.282564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giants30c6,814$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.6420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants43c6,794$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.3832050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Vikings57c5,600$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4083943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Giants44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Vikings57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15014837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Vikings57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Giants42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Vikings58c4,926$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.18351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Giants39c4,807$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.6510462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants39c4,261$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.1723850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Vikings76c4,221$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.213823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Giants43c4,000$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7301361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants42c4,000$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.1120646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Vikings57c4,000$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.9726650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Vikings58c3,437$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.385939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83fa…f554backed Vikings65c3,358$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Giants41c3,275$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.226250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants36c3,016$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.7760049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Vikings58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26039447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants41c2,975$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.5911146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Giants43c2,760$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.653545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Vikings78c2,708$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.366051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants1c2,666$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.664311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Vikings58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.218461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Giants50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.8112934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Giants43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b1…faebbacked Vikings68c2,494$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.387737.7%29 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe52f…df5dbacked Vikings59c2,423$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.352755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Giants5c2,400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011122.5%25 W · 86 L+13.9wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+428.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants26c2,390$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.4619235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants36c2,355$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.3827348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants43c2,335$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cec…1a24backed Vikings60c2,274$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+73%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings59c2,250$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Giants43c2,216$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95314154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Giants53c2,207$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.117557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Giants38c2,126$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.035248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Giants43c2,109$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.974257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Vikings45c2,064$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.4230043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Vikings57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Vikings64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Giants36c1,962$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.1212748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Vikings73c1,906$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.695042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Vikings58c1,834$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.482850%14 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Vikings56c1,782$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.1912152.1%63 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Giants42c1,726$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7253650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…99fbbacked Giants27c1,710$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.918132.1%26 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Giants38c1,681$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5127644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Vikings56c1,611$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.3331854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Giants1c1,600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…6dcebacked Giants42c1,420$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Giants43c1,382$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Vikings58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.318953.9%48 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d32…3db1backed Vikings56c1,353$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.671464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Vikings56c1,333$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.0218650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants42c1,296$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.321,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Vikings53c1,235$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.681650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e5b…029cbacked Vikings57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5161233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Giants39c1,183$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.25044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Giants43c1,138$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.346233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Vikings74c1,113$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.346850%34 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Vikings60c1,074$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.458432.1%27 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.