NFL · resolved market
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368447f203947e6070d4126ac7ee09d059585e026864671b6f584c931544fba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Vikings, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Giants | 48c | 60,486$29,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,033.48 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Vikings | 52c | 24,000$12,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,557.79 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Giants | 51c | 21,884$11,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,098.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Vikings | 52c | 19,000$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vikings | 52c | 17,875$9,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,558.67 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vikings | 51c | 10,351$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.19 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Vikings | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Vikings | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Giants | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Giants | 48c | 7,936$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.28 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vikings | 49c | 6,405$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.95 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Giants | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 49c | 5,763$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.13 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Giants | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Giants | 47c | 3,893$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.77 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Vikings | 52c | 3,848$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.83 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Vikings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Vikings | 50c | 2,125$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.31 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Vikings | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Vikings | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giants | 49c | 1,336$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.09 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Giants | 49c | 1,308$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 52c | 1,119$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.61 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Giants | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 49c | 869.4$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Vikings | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Giants | 49c | 677.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Giants | 47c | 614.94$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Vikings | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Vikings | 55c | 455.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Giants | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Vikings | 52c | 416.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Giants | 48c | 400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Vikings | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Vikings | 53c | 305.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vikings | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Giants | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Vikings | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Giants | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Vikings | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Vikings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Vikings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Vikings | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Vikings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Giants | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Vikings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vikings | 56c | 169$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Vikings | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vikings | 48c | 133$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Giants | 46c | 119.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Vikings | 53c | 119.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 64c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vikings | 51c | 106.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Vikings | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Vikings | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Giants | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Vikings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Vikings | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Vikings | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…166fbacked Vikings | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Vikings | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Vikings | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Vikings | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Vikings | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Giants | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Giants | 47c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Vikings | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Vikings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Vikings | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Giants | 47c | 48.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb112…20d3backed Vikings | 53c | 44.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Giants | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Vikings | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…454abacked Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…d9f6backed Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Vikings | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…23c6backed Vikings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Vikings | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…113ebacked Giants | 50c | 28.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Vikings | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked Vikings | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked Giants | 48c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Vikings | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…8dd6backed Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vikings (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-3.5)Giants won
- Vikings vs. GiantsVikings won
- Vikings vs. Giants: 1H MoneylineVikings won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 41.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 42.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 43.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 44.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.