TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f1a…6dc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Olympics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$5,200
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,920
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$8,840
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,760
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,940
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$8,640
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,898.86
Spread: Vikings (-9.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Spread: Vikings (-8.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+70.2%+$4,948.01
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,270
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,597
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+67.3%+$6,034.86
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,442.82
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$8,404.07
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,705.38
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,300
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,736.92
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,880
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$15,250
Spread: Saints (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,875Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+105.1%+$5,124.58
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$7,296.48
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$7,500
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,730.2
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$7,420
Spread: Texans (-12.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$7,980
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+176.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x400m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+27.8%+$412.74
Will Rai Benjamin (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$86.41
Will Kyron McMaster (IVB) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$61.07
Will Marileidy Paulino (DOM) win gold in 400m W? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+27.2%+$213.56
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$792.5
Will Kelly Cheng & Sara Hughes (USA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$65
Will McKenzie Long (USA) win gold in 200m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.08
Will Julien Alfred (LCA) win gold in 200m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+39.9%+$446.45
Will Gabrielle Thomas (USA) win gold in 200m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Cole Hocker (USA) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+2,416.8%+$654.9
Will Yared Nuguse (USA) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.55
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+442.4%+$2,866.68
Will Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+128.1%+$673.93
Will Alex Walsh (USA) win Gold in Women's 200m Individual Medley?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Ryan Crouser (USA) win Gold in Shot Put?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$104.27
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$5,759.99
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,200
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Alabama vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$563.93
Spread: Texas (-4.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+106%+$5,661.29
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,372Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.1%+$12,382.89
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,959.99
All 7 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,096Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+158.4%+$4,904.2
Will Morocco win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$300.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nelly Korda win Gold in Women's Golf?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Will Xander Schauffele win Gold in Men's Golf?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$184.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.54
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,698.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$5,745.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.