Chess · resolved market
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc43121e2a6a49519c4fa4312c022747fc77be0a30137d281fe0a58e0865bba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 69c | 11,544$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes | 21c | 10,271$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…fec2backed Yes | 27c | 5,080$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 67c | 3,199$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…cc17backed Yes | 19c | 2,817$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…bab4backed Yes | 12c | 2,369$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 31c | 1,952$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.54 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,892$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 15c | 1,803$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,608$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 30c | 1,285$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked No | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 21c | 961.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 31c | 911.29$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 36c | 901.62$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6d91backed Yes | 37c | 854.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…88a4backed Yes | 22c | 802.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 29c | 797.64$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 27c | 775$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 35c | 677.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 25c | 650$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 75c | 646.67$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 33c | 598.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…46b7backed Yes | 38c | 555.55$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…ade4backed Yes | 29c | 546.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 514$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 28c | 449.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…cd16backed No | 72c | 410.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 36c | 377.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…6293backed Yes | 28c | 372.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…0180backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed No | 68c | 282.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 75c | 253.93$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Yes | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 8c | 209.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 36c | 199.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…d8c4backed Yes | 31c | 187.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 18c | 184.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…d9adbacked Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…12eebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 27c | 154.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…beadbacked Yes | 26c | 148.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 35c | 145.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes | 37c | 136.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…60c8backed Yes | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2050…feefbacked Yes | 42c | 119.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 27c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…d4debacked No | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…d561backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…95c0backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…7fc1backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 99.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…256dbacked Yes | 21c | 96.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…195bbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…3a64backed Yes | 58c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 23c | 84.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 14c | 76.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…93c1backed Yes | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked Yes | 31c | 75.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59e…d7f6backed Yes | 28c | 74.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…b664backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…4338backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed No | 63c | 68.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…a401backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…f7d3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…6a41backed No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…6df8backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…25d2backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…3743backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…f6abbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…8864backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.