TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06a9…3b80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT11843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.61
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutetbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.52
Bordeaux: Titouan Droguet vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$85.02
Paris: Shuai Zhang vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
ATX Open: Anna Bondar vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Chile Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Alex Barrenabacked Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$384
Chile Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$319.8
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$423
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$401.8
Rio Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$530.1
Qatar Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergsbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.1
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
Oeiras 2: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$491.36
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$417.29
Qatar Open: Ugo Humbert vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$513
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elise Mertens vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$319.2
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Navabacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$420
Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsenbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$469.8
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500.5
Argentina Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064.99
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$738.4
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$508.18
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$601
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.6
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$779.7
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$259
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,111.96
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$403.2
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sharaf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$789.16
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$400.4
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+354.5%+$546
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$659.6
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$385
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$404.4
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Dalby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+316.7%+$630.73
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$427
UFC Fight Night: Rock vs. Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$400.18
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.8
Fiorot vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$247.5
Grant vs. Jourdainbacked Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.99
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$280.89
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+176.1%+$318.89
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+129.4%+$20
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.49
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$156
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$628.19
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$144
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+68.2%+$101.4
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$277.69
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$48.4
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+71.2%+$16.64
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+265%+$29.04
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$21.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$805.29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+145.4%+$1,946.37
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$403.19
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$956.2
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.01
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+58.9%+$214.9
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$129.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$511.85
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.94
Will Brazil unban X before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+74.6%+$447.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$229.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.