Us Politics · resolved market
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd691e7874cad187c0254caad23d532a425f8bf8dbda2655892677042ce063d24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 19,342$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.8 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 62c | 17,294$10,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540.97 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 16,368$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.58 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 48c | 13,615$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,516 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 38c | 12,777$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 50c | 12,075$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.29 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…7c25backed Yes | 13c | 11,522$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 39c | 9,664$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 7c | 9,422$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.63 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 66c | 8,737$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 44c | 8,585$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 29c | 8,561$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.57 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…4232backed Yes | 44c | 7,648$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 63c | 6,888$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed No | 46c | 6,859$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked No | 50c | 6,611$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…1754backed No | 55c | 6,183$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 9c | 5,912$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.27 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked No | 59c | 5,541$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 40c | 4,993$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 66c | 4,750$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.49 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…fa65backed No | 58c | 4,340$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…33d0backed No | 60c | 4,305$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 51c | 4,265$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 50c | 4,193$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.53 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 42c | 3,762$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.37 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 24c | 3,572$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.21 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 35c | 3,500$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 20c | 3,298$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 61c | 3,174$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 32c | 3,135$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.44 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 8c | 2,989$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ff7bbacked No | 59c | 2,806$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 61c | 2,559$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…0cb6backed No | 74c | 2,449$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…09e0backed Yes | 54c | 2,448$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 59c | 2,282$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.84 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…f146backed No | 49c | 2,238$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 68c | 2,222$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.51 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…87f3backed No | 57c | 2,175$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 52c | 2,133$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.46 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 33c | 2,110$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.59 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 66c | 2,009$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.32 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…2e2ebacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1be3backed Yes | 44c | 1,900$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…a195backed No | 55c | 1,834$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 51c | 1,812$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.03 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed No | 47c | 1,801$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…185cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,787$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,708$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 77c | 1,705$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,683$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.1 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…2d43backed No | 60c | 1,654$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,624$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.95 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked No | 65c | 1,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 36c | 1,529$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.97 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…3fe4backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked No | 70c | 1,434$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…b31bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,428$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…ae58backed No | 71c | 1,396$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 1,394$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.44 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 3c | 1,353$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 46c | 1,311$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…33eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,303$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…d86ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,251$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…dbd4backed Yes | 46c | 1,247$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b9…a48bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,236$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…03cfbacked No | 49c | 1,230$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…7f3dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,200$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.24 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 23c | 1,149$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 1,143$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.58 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…2a49backed Yes | 56c | 1,131$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…ec7bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,128$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…d94bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,120$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3765…c121backed Yes | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,076$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 41c | 1,056$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.23 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…b24cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,055$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 55c | 1,023$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.68 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…1800backed No | 45c | 1,015$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 31c | 1,010$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.91 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 42c | 1,008$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.3 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…4abcbacked No | 64c | 995.66$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 51c | 981.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 38c | 971.75$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.26 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 57c | 968.97$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 31c | 948.06$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 49c | 922.63$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed Yes | 43c | 888.27$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…a52cbacked Yes | 41c | 877.43$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…c5afbacked Yes | 35c | 872.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…3e5fbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.