TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a8a…0acd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11330.1%34 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+305.1%+$703.38
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$51.92
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$70.24
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+227.3%+$227.25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$202.58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+237.6%+$100.98
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$593.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Shenhua FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Shenhua FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.02
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$60.31
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)backed Henan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.17
Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2 - 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC 1 - 2 Qingdao Xihaian FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+527.2%+$105.44
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+217.9%+$1,089.41
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Will Inter Milan beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+146.3%+$73.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$43.22
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)backed SC Corinthians Paulista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-53.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$36.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.