Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9715fe323f12209344b022f4852cbe8be828c5f53999d7ea4869356044e1d8e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed No | 46c | 150,313$68,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,815.68 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 36,710$19,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,874.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 54c | 24,054$12,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,064.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 12,447$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.76 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 54c | 9,050$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 54c | 7,211$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed No | 46c | 6,660$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.41 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 5,931$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.79 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 54c | 4,867$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 54c | 4,174$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 3,937$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.01 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes | 54c | 3,635$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 54c | 3,499$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.33 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Yes | 54c | 3,478$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 51c | 3,288$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.16 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 2,989$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.46 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 53c | 2,984$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.43 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 56c | 2,889$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.09 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 54c | 2,880$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 54c | 2,753$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.53 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 54c | 2,642$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 2,641$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.61 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 54c | 2,352$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 57c | 2,188$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.34 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,891$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 1,716$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.14 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 54c | 1,634$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.96 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 17c | 1,494$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,342$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Yes | 54c | 1,302$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Yes | 54c | 1,274$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 46c | 1,272$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 32c | 1,250$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.32 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 73c | 1,234$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 32c | 1,178$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.45 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes | 53c | 1,099$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 1,084$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 55c | 1,050$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.26 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 55c | 1,011$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 996.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes | 69c | 981.62$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 44c | 966.3$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 56c | 895.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 54c | 817$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.82 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 66c | 777$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 54c | 676.05$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.84 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yes | 54c | 666.91$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes | 57c | 657.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 638.27$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 55c | 600$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 63c | 584$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 568.59$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 55c | 551.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 54c | 503$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.38 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 60c | 499.32$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 67c | 452$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 444$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Yes | 54c | 440.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 436.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 54c | 431.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 58c | 428.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 55c | 425.69$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 419.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 65c | 404.24$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 54c | 401.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 61c | 400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 54c | 379.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 54c | 375.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 367.28$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 55c | 363.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 54c | 326.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 54c | 322$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 54c | 319.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 54c | 314.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 301.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Yes | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 58c | 277.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 54c | 273.21$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.