Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08c72c25c3c059d639f9faf86b3e1e7939b911a9cc6e40eafae630db1e25610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 21,660$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.56 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 24c | 12,679$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.04 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 11,057$8,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.46 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 76c | 10,876$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 9,114$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.09 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 19c | 6,552$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 3,616$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.68 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 23c | 3,438$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.68 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 79c | 3,174$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.88 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 2,726$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.07 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 10c | 2,399$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 23c | 2,379$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.17 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 78c | 2,237$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 2,083$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.01 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 77c | 2,011$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.64 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 19c | 1,820$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 1,538$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.74 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 993.16$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 718.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 656.79$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 648.39$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 648.22$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 590.89$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Yes | 24c | 567.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 77c | 449.35$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 77c | 427.5$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 77c | 315.2$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 13c | 272$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 236.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 22c | 229.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 11c | 223.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 214.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 205.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…ded7backed Yes | 24c | 197.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 181.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 180.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked Yes | 13c | 162.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 77c | 155.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 77c | 155.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 146.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 139.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…017ebacked No | 77c | 131.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 120.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 78c | 111.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ae85backed Yes | 23c | 109.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed No | 77c | 103.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Yes | 23c | 99.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 15c | 96.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 12c | 95.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 76.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 75.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 72.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed No | 76c | 70.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 77c | 59.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked No | 77c | 58.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…e1d9backed No | 77c | 56.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 54.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 53.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf227…a6e9backed Yes | 22c | 48.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 48.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked No | 78c | 43.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 77c | 43.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 78cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 77c | 32.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed No | 77c | 31.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 77c | 29.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 28.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…0fa8backed No | 77c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 76c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.