TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x663c…194c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32%+$3.21
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.3
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$125.83
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.89
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.91
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.86
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$20.05
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.46
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.13
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.72
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$40.93
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.11
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.42
Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.67
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.01
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$28.47
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$39.85
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.17
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.32
Will Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.