TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under53c11,485$6,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,085.635740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under30c10,772$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.1319340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c9,018$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.465,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under39c7,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9912639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under32c4,002$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.58155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over55c4,000$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.46453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under1c2,746$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.465750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under20c2,540$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.44852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over40c2,401$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.537149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over54c2,223$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.942360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over10c1,458$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.334528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Over80c957.13$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.134763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Under65c768.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under72c695.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c693.57$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.522,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c669.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7814429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over38c655.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.694621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Under15c514$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.14429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Over46c431.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under72c421.39$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.023243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2441963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over27c325.68$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.746735.8%24 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under23c319.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.968953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over30c318.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.635330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over23c314$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.782020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over38c307.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under59c293.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4519753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under6c273.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over29c242.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1111812.7%15 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick13cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Over28c217.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Under73c215.36$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over30c183.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.333043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over24c165$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.39339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over28c150.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under24c149.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.282045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over45c119.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.956950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under72c111.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.551,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c103.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.191,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706479.7%51 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Over53c97.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over65c84.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over40c79.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9926052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under56c59.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.252339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under72c55.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.822045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Over28c54.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+131.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over29c51.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5836352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5724…b563backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Over29c47.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under63c45.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.884566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over61c44.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.254759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x399a…7e09backed Under51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…105dbacked Under74c43.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.522157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfb…fd2ebacked Under48c41.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under49c41.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.194163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Under61c40.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c38.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over67c35.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.774250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over54c35.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.166341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over61c33.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.353565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under51c33.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8710340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under73c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0911557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce7…a1f1backed Under62c30.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Over52c27.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over59c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under59c23.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c21.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under80c18.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under69c18.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.838667.4%58 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under72c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9613666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over61c17.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.748265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x663c…194cbacked Over59c17.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2276…a73abacked Over75c14.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under72c13.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032763%17 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under73c13.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.