Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc54b1e1ecb663c051e7122bc2e2fc2871a6d4c99e13028f65d63d1f63322450c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Zhejiang Zhiye FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 48c | 12,817$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 52c | 10,822$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.85 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 3,973$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.39 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 72c | 2,114$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.01 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 399.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 44c | 399.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 59c | 341.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 55c | 271.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 202.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 164.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 42c | 141$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 41c | 117.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 50c | 115.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 108.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 98.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 53cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 92.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 43c | 87.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 86.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 36c | 80.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 54c | 69.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 44c | 47.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…8300backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 55c | 42.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 55c | 40.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…ae5fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 45c | 29.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…cd23backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 50c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 57c | 26.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…c993backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 58c | 24.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.