TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9950…d55f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolvesbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$12.92
NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Milwaukee Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.73
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.06
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$464.13
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$75.78
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$44.84
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.39
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.22
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$84.12
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.64
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.72
Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$44.92
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+385.7%+$86.34
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$30.98
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$36.02
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$102.05
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$17.06
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$95.78
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$74.61
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.05
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$32.33
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+105%+$30.53
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$22.76
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.82
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$38.95
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$28.51
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$49.52
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$25.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+82%+$16.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Emiliana Arango vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$535.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.